Ian Jones

Lib Dem leader Sir Ed Davey and his party’s candidate for Cheadle, Tom Morrison, play Jenga during a visit to Cheadle, Greater Manchester during day 13 of the election campaign (Peter Byrne/PA)
Politics

Seats visited by party leaders on day 13: Key election data

The Labour and Lib Dem leaders have both held events in Tory-held target seats.
4 Jun 2024
Labour continues to enjoy a strong lead in the opinion polls on day 13 of the election campaign (Liam McBurney/PA)
Politics

Opinion poll round-up on day 13 of the election campaign

The latest polls give Labour leads that range from 17 percentage points to 26 points.
4 Jun 2024
Clacton in Essex was won by the Conservatives in 2019 with 72% of the vote (Nick Ansell/PA)
Politics

Clacton in recent general elections: What does the data show?

The Conservatives won the seat in 2019 with 72% of the vote.
3 Jun 2024
Labour Party leader Sir Keir Starmer paid a visit on Monday to the Fusilier Museum in the marginal seat of Bury North in Greater Manchester (Stefan Rousseau/PA)
Politics

Seats visited by party leaders on day 12: Key election data

The Labour leader spent Monday in one of his party’s top 10 target seats.
3 Jun 2024
A new projection of the General Election result suggests Labour could win a majority of 114 seats (Peter Byrne/PA)
Politics

Labour ‘set for biggest majority in 23 years’, analysis suggests

The model projects Labour to win a total of 382 seats while the Conservatives would win 180.
3 Jun 2024
The average opinion poll ratings for the main parties have barely moved since the start of the General Election campaign (Yui Mok/PA)
Politics

Opinion poll round-up on day 12 of the election campaign

Poll averages suggest Labour continues to enjoy a lead of around 20 points over the Conservatives.
3 Jun 2024
More than 130 people who were MPs in the 2019-2024 parliament are not standing in the election on July 4 (John Walton/PA)
Politics

List of MPs in 2019-2024 parliament not standing in General Election

A majority of those not seeking re-election used to be Conservative MPs.
31 May 2024
<p>Voters go to the polls on July 4</p>
Politics

Opinion poll round-up on day nine of the election campaign

There continues to be little movement in the average poll ratings for all the major parties.
31 May 2024
Sir Keir Starmer visited Abergavenny in the constituency of Monmouthshire during Thursday’s election campaigning (Stefan Rousseau/PA)
Politics

Seats visited by party leaders on day eight: Key election data

The Labour and Lib Dem leaders both visited target seats on Thursday morning.
30 May 2024
The deadline to register to vote in the General Election is June 18 (Peter Byrne/PA)
Politics

Jump in applications to vote since General Election announced

All voters intending to cast a ballot will need to be registered and show a form of photo ID at the polling station.
30 May 2024
Labour continues to enjoy a comfortable lead in the latest opinion polls ahead of the July 4 General Election (Jonathan Brady/PA)
Politics

Opinion poll round-up on day eight of the election campaign

There has been little movement in the average poll ratings for all the major parties.
30 May 2024
Rishi Sunak visits an electronic training academy in Liskeard, Cornwall (Aaron Chown/PA)
Politics

Seats visited by party leaders on day seven: Key election data

The Prime Minister has spent Wednesday in a number of battleground seats in south-west England.
29 May 2024
Labour continues to enjoy a comfortable lead over the Conservatives in opinion polls ahead of the July 4 General Election (Andrew Matthews/PA)
Politics

Opinion poll round-up on day seven of the election campaign

Labour continues to enjoy a lead over the Conservatives averaging 21 percentage points.
29 May 2024
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Politics

List of MPs standing down at General Election

Conservative MPs account for the majority of members not seeking re-election.

29 May 2024
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak spent part of Tuesday visiting a pottery factory in Stoke-on-Trent, in a seat Labour is targeting at the election (Aaron Chown/PA)
Politics

Target seats visited by party leaders on day six of the campaign

The Prime Minister has spent time in Stoke-on-Trent North, which is ranked 103 on Labour’s target list.
28 May 2024
Labour’s average poll lead over the Conservatives continues to average around 20 points (Peter Byrne/PA)
Politics

Opinion poll round-up on day six of the campaign

Labour continues to enjoy a lead over the Conservatives averaging around 20 points.
28 May 2024
More than 125 MPs have announced they are standing down ahead of the General Election (John Walton/PA)
Politics

List of MPs standing down at General Election

Conservative MPs account for the majority of members not seeking re-election.
28 May 2024
More than 100 MPs have said they will not be standing in for re-election on polling day on July 4 (John Walton/PA)
Politics

List of MPs standing down at General Election

Conservative MPs account for the majority of members not seeking re-election.
24 May 2024
The total number of visas issued to people coming to the UK has fallen slightly (Steve Parsons/PA)
Politics

UK issues 1.3 million visas for work, study, family or resettlement

The figure is down 10% on the previous year.
23 May 2024
The latest migration figures show a rise in emigration by non-EU nationals, particularly among those who initially arrived on a study visa (Peter Powell/PA)
Politics

Latest UK migration statistics: The key numbers

Reasons for migration are changing, with a rise in arrivals to work and a drop in arrivals on study and humanitarian grounds.
23 May 2024
Politics

Four scenarios for the outcome of the General Election

Here are four possible outcomes for the General Election, from the Conservatives losing seats but remaining the largest party, to Labour making enough gains to form its first government in 14 years.Each scenario includes examples of the size of swing and turnover of seats that could take place.– Conservatives lose majority but remain largest partyThe General Election is being held using new constituency boundaries, which means it will not be possible to compare the results directly with what happened at the last general election in 2019.In order to judge how well the parties do at the election, and to work out which seats they need to win to form a government, a set of notional results for the 2019 election has been calculated to show what would have happened if that contest had taken place using the new boundaries.These notional results have been compiled by professors Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher of the University of Plymouth, on behalf of BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the PA news agency, and will be used as the basis for reporting the gains and losses at the General Election.Under these notional results, the Conservatives won 372 seats at the 2019 election.A total of 326 seats are needed for a majority in the House of Commons, therefore the Tories can afford to lose up to 46 seats before dropping below this threshold.A uniform nationwide swing in the share of the vote at the election from Conservative to Labour of 4.2 percentage points would likely be enough to wipe out the Tory majority, as it would involve 47 Conservatives losses – 40 to Labour, five to the Liberal Democrats and two to the SNP – and reduce them to 325 seats.This scenario has been calculated on the basis of the Conservative vote share falling by 4.2 percentage points in every seat in Britain, Labour’s share rising by the same amount, while no other parties’ share has changed.Seats that Labour would gain from the Tories on a swing of 4.2 points start with Burnley in Lancashire, the party’s number one target, which
23 May 2024